AGI Greenpac Ltd (AGI)
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AGI Greenpac is in a growth phase driven by capacity expansion and strong demand in premium packaging segments, despite near-term margin pressure from input cost increases. Revenue growth remains robust, but profitability is being compressed temporarily as the company invests in scaling to 2,600 TPD by March 2027.
- Revenue grew 5.8% QoQ to ₹785 in Q1FY27.
- ⚠️ 1) Margin pressure from regional input cost increases is eroding EBITDA and PAT growth despite revenue expansion, requiring effective cost optimizatio
📖 The Story
AGI Greenpac is in a growth phase driven by capacity expansion and strong demand in premium packaging segments, despite near-term margin pressure from input cost increases. Revenue growth remains robust, but profitability is being compressed temporarily as the company invests in scaling to 2,600 TPD by March 2027. The business model is capital-intensive but asset-light in structure, with a strong balance sheet and low leverage supporting continued investment.
📰 What's Happening
In Q1 FY27 (July 2026), AGI Greenpac reported consolidated revenue of ₹785 crore, up 14.2% YoY, reflecting sustained demand in premium packaging. PAT rose 11.8% YoY to ₹99 crore, but EBITDA declined 23.1% YoY to ₹175 crore due to regional cost inflation. Management highlighted ongoing capacity expansion to 2,600 TPD by March 2027 as a key growth enabler. Earlier, on June 26, 2026, the company notified shareholders of unclaimed dividends from FY 2018-19 onward, triggering mandatory transfer of shares to IEPF if not claimed by September 15, 2026, requiring affected investors to submit documentation via the RTA.
Source: Stock Announcements
📊 Quarterly Results (₹ Cr)
| Metric | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 602 | 634 | 742 | 785 |
| Operating Profit | 107 | 107 | 109 | 130 |
| OPM % | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 16.6% |
| Net Profit | 76 | 71 | 115 | 99 |
| EPS | ₹11.75 | ₹11.04 | ₹17.83 | ₹15.36 |
Revenue has grown consistently over the past four quarters, rising from ₹602 crore in September 2025 to ₹785 crore in June 2026, indicating strong top-line momentum. However, OPM has fluctuated between 14.7% and 17.8%, with the latest quarter showing 16.6%, suggesting margin compression despite volume growth. PAT peaked at ₹115 crore in March 2026 but dipped to ₹99 crore in June 2026, aligning with EBITDA decline and input cost pressures. EPS followed a similar trend, declining from ₹17.83 to ₹15.36, reflecting the impact of rising costs on bottom-line performance.
🔮 Management Outlook & What's Next
Management expects capacity expansion to 2,600 TPD by March 2027 to support continued growth in premium segments, which is central to its long-term strategy. While no formal forward guidance on margins or revenue was provided in the latest filing, the emphasis on cost optimization to offset input pressures suggests awareness of profitability challenges. The unclaimed dividend issue, while a compliance matter, reflects long-standing governance practices but no operational impact on current performance.
Extracted from official company announcements. Not StockFin.ai's opinion.
🏦 Balance Sheet (₹ Cr)
| Item | Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Reserves | 1,898 | 2,085 | 2,204 | 2,394 |
| Borrowings | 603 | 552 | 460 | 241 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,375 | 3,496 | 3,364 | 3,552 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,062 | 1,556 | 2,031 | 2,022 |
| Investments | 0 | 511 | 10 | 98 |
| Total Assets | 3,375 | 3,496 | 3,364 | 3,552 |
The balance sheet shows stable equity of ₹13 crore and growing reserves, indicating retained earnings, while borrowings have declined from ₹552 crore to ₹241 crore over two years, suggesting active deleveraging. Total assets have remained relatively flat, but the reduction in debt alongside asset growth implies disciplined capital allocation and improving financial risk profile. This strengthens the company’s capacity to fund expansion without over-leveraging.
💰 Cash Flow Statement (₹ Cr)
| Item | Mar 2025 |
|---|---|
| Operating | +429 |
| Investing | -442 |
| Financing | -190 |
| Net Cash Flow | -204 |
👥 Shareholding Pattern
| Category | Q2FY26 | Q3FY26 | Q4FY26 | Q1FY27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoters | 60.2% | 60.2% | 60.4% | 60.4% |
| FII | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| DII | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Public | 22.8% | 23.1% | 24.2% | 24.9% |
| # Shareholders | 54,922 | 55,939 | 57,390 | 58,757 |
Promoter holding remains stable at 60.39%, indicating confidence in long-term prospects. FII ownership has slightly declined from 7.49% to 6.27% over five quarters, while DII has increased from 1.06% to 2.04%, suggesting growing interest from domestic institutional investors. The rise in the number of shareholders (from 54,922 to 58,757) and stable public holding indicate broadening retail interest, which may support liquidity and market depth.
⚖️ Peer Comparison — Packaging
| Company | MCap (₹ Cr) | P/E | ROCE | ROE | D/E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INOXINDIA | 19,412 | 76.2 | 29.2% | 22.8% | 0.06 |
| GRWRHITECH | 16,598 | 42.8 | 22.0% | 16.4% | 0.00 |
| EPL | 8,382 | 21.6 | 17.1% | 13.8% | 0.25 |
| AGI | 5,042 | 13.9 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 0.26 |
| UFLEX | 4,685 | 6.9 | 8.8% | 8.4% | 1.21 |
| POLYPLEX | 3,707 | 23.9 | 7.7% | 7.2% | 0.23 |
| TCPLPACK | 3,548 | 30.7 | 17.8% | 16.1% | 0.80 |
| XPROINDIA | 2,692 | 81.5 | 5.2% | 4.3% | 0.38 |
| COSMOFIRST | 2,446 | 14.5 | 11.4% | 10.3% | 0.98 |
| MOLDTKPAC | 2,357 | 32.2 | 19.9% | 14.5% | 0.10 |
🔗 Peer Stock Analyses
⚠️ Risk Factors
1) Margin pressure from regional input cost increases is eroding EBITDA and PAT growth despite revenue expansion, requiring effective cost optimization to sustain profitability. 2) The IEPF-mandated share transfer for unclaimed dividends since FY19 raises governance concerns and may signal past lapses in investor communication, potentially affecting institutional trust. 3) High concentration in promoter holdings (60.39%) with limited public float could lead to lower liquidity and increased volatility. 4) Capacity expansion execution risk — delays or cost overruns could dampen expected growth momentum.
📋 Recent Filings
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Announcement 25 August 2026AGI Greenpac announced its upcoming investor meeting schedule with ChrysCapital Associates on August 31, 2026, conducted virtually. The filing confirm...
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Announcement 21 August 2026AGI Greenpac Limited clarified that there is no material event or operational change affecting its business, attributing recent share volume fluctuati...
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Announcement 21 August 2026AGI Greenpac announced the retirement of Chief Executive Officer - General Administration Manoj Kumar Goel effective 21 August 2026, marking a leaders...
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Announcement 17 August 2026AGI Greenpac announced its upcoming analyst and institutional investor meeting schedule on August 17, 2026, including a one-on-one session with Bandha...
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Announcement 12 August 2026AGI Greenpac announced its schedule for upcoming analyst and institutional investor meetings, including a one-on-one session with SBI Mutual Fund on A...
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Announcement 31 July 2026AGI Greenpac announced its upcoming investor meetings scheduled for August 14 and 20, 2026, hosted by Emkay Global and DAM Capital respectively, to di...
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🔴 Financial Results 28 July 2026AGI Greenpac reported consolidated revenue of ₹785 crore for Q1 FY27, up 14.2% YoY, with PAT at ₹99 crore, up 11.8% YoY. EBITDA declined 23.1% YoY to ...
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Announcement 28 July 2026AGI Greenpac Limited announced on 28 July 2026 that its board recommends appointing Mr. Shashvat Somany as Joint Managing Director effective 1 October...
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Announcement 7 July 2026AGI Greenpac Limited filed a SEBI-mandated certificate confirming dematerialization of shares for Q1 FY2026, verifying no rematerialization occurred a...
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🔴 Corporate Action 26 June 2026AGI Greenpac notified shareholders of unclaimed dividends from FY 2018-19 onward that remain unpaid for seven consecutive years, triggering mandatory ...
🧠 Analyst's Read
AGI Greenpac is executing a clear growth strategy with strong top-line momentum, but near-term profitability is under pressure from cost inflation. The company’s financial discipline, low leverage, and capacity expansion plans are positives, but margin recovery and execution of the 2,600 TPD target will be critical. Investors should monitor cost management trends and clarity on capital allocation as key near-term catalysts.
Based on filing content and financial data. Not a recommendation.
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Data sourced from stock announcements. Analysis generated by StockFin.ai.
For informational purposes only — not investment advice. Updated 2026-09-01.
Editorial & Data Transparency Notice
This analysis was programmatically compiled using StockFin AI utilizing official regulatory disclosures from the BSE and NSE. Content is automatically synthesized and audited against public financial filings. StockFin.ai is an educational research platform and is NOT a SEBI-registered investment advisor or research analyst.
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